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Home » News » OM hit by harsh stats: Champions League chances at 0%!
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OM hit by harsh stats: Champions League chances at 0%!

Last updated: May 5, 2026 at 9:19 AM
Author: Casey Reed Published: 5 May 2026
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No, Olympique de Marseille will not be playing in the Champions League next season. According to Opta, the well-known statistics firm, the verdict is final.

OM will have to cope without Europe’s top competition. Based on 10,000 simulations run by Opta’s supercomputer, the Marseille club has absolutely no chance of finishing in 4th place this season.

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No path to a top-four finish for Marseille

The conclusion is brutal: a 0.00% probability of securing that crucial position, synonymous with Champions League qualification. This scenario has been completely ruled out by statistical projections.

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The outlook for the end of the season is also worrying. OM is given a 19.01% chance of finishing 5th and a 28.04% chance of ending up 6th, reflecting a troubling downward trend and a clear drop in the standings.

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Unless there is a dramatic turnaround, Marseille is unlikely to compete in the Champions League next season. Such an absence could have significant sporting and financial consequences, with tensions rising as European hopes continue to fade.

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